- EU-indigenous P2(XR)C,
- clearing normalization across global industries,
- amalgamated human-machine interactions (HMI),
- multiplying global GDP,
- making a collective human intellectual effort a reality (MindOPs) -
this everything produces numerous changes in every facet of human societies lives beyond the direct impact of each one. We are going to list here the core ones and try to make rough estimations in numbers. Though those numbers are far from being even a forecast, but they allow to understand the depths of the change in subject and expose, better handle bottlenecks on the way to progress.
- HMI becoming a basic human right.
In the world of further technology amalgamation into human interactions we have no right to keep anyone aside the web as the latter becomes a part of the reality. Thus, human having no web access means they cannot secure their basic human rights connected to biological survival. So, both network and access device technologies must become a public resource available by the right of birth. Our products are set to provide such a platform.
So, both the rise of the public-personal computing platform and the provision of it for everyone are becoming our mission and societal change produced. As a result of it, every intelligence in the world, including artificial ones, are enabled into the web from day Zero of their existence through interoperable access environment under a public control. Democracy is safe for the future. Corporations are less powerful to decide citizen future and choices.
Rough weighted estimations[1] evidence that such a change would be a general requirement for the broad impact GDP effect we foresee above
[1] Methodology: here and further in the similar estimations - correlating improvements in the mentioned rates with GDP growth.
[2] OECD Productivity Statistics: https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=PDB_LV , Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Productivity Data: https://www.bls.gov/lpc/
[3] World Bank Education Statistics: https://data.worldbank.org/topic/education , OECD Education at a Glance: https://www.oecd.org/education/education-at-a-glance/
[4] World Health Organization (WHO) Health Statistics: https://www.who.int/data/gho , OECD Health Statistics: https://www.oecd.org/health/health-statistics.htm
[5] World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) Global Innovation Index: https://www.wipo.int/global_innovation_index/en/ , OECD Science, Technology and Innovation Indicators: https://www.oecd.org/sti/inno/
[6] World Bank Inequality Data: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.GINI , OECD Income Inequality Data: https://www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm
[7] World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators: https://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/ , Economist Intelligence Unit Democracy Index: https://www.eiu.com/n/campaigns/democracy-index-2022/
- Sustainable Human Capital.
MindOPs evolvement along with the clearing normalization makes it possible to attach a talent to work required just-in-time and on purpose. Which makes top talent both available for where it’s required and able to get a fair compensation for the value added as per current market price. Less exploitation, more freedom and parity at work for everyone.
It is a new epoch of work “just-in-time” which is beneficial both for the work owner and work maker. In this epoch we do not debate work hours, we debate skill propagation among the human population. And as soon as it is available - it is inserted and paid fairly. No job markets, no job searches, no interviews, no isolation, no discrimination. Able to sustain artificial intelligence-saturated interactions to the human benefit.
This isolated change may technically enable global GDP CAGR of 5.8%, which opens unseen opportunities, obviously stranded by more complex interactions, but as isolated one - adding these contributions gives an estimated annual GDP growth increase of:
[1] International Labour Organization (ILO) Employment Statistics: Source: https://www.ilo.org/global/statistics-and-databases/lang--en/index.htm
World Bank Employment Data: Source: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS
[2] Harvard Business Review Articles on Reducing Business Overhead Costs: Source: https://hbr.org/ , Deloitte Insights on Cost Management: Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights.html
[3] Means slowing down CAGR to 2.6% for 2070-2120 after achieving 600 trillion global GDP in 2073 at about 6% CAGR. All such an estimation is here only to demonstrate a potential impact, cannot be considered any type of forecast as those are just the potentials. Though it is important to make sure we have no bottlenecks in the particular areas of growth. We consider it then a requirement met for the growth targeted.
- States appear as Interoperable communities
to support mental capacity of the population to be able to operate in the intensive real-time MindOPs professional and recreational environments. Democracies thriving as never before having checks and balances seamlessly injected into human-to-human-to-machine interactions. That is a requirement for the number above.
- The Web 4.0 P2(XR)C platform rise will introduce a technical and model capacity* for
- additive manufacturing,
- just-in-time resource use,
- absolute recyclable supply chains capability and
- focus on customizable instant-upgradable interface experiences as an alternative to proprietary demand-triggering offerings
- both in direct consumer electronic markets and indirect market spectrums across different industries.
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- Inparity.
Maybe the largest impact we target is more even wealth distribution around the population thanks to the abovementioned changes. Which mostly we would measure by the democracy values penetration around the world. Which in its turn would amplify every of the impacts mentioned to make us capable for the next generation technologies evolvement.
Combining the previous impacts and adding the amplifying effects of inparity:
Baseline Impact (Average of Previous Scenarios):
Average annual GDP growth increase: (3.3% + 5.8% + 5.8%) / 3 = 4.97%
Additional Impact from Inparity:
Enhanced productivity: 1%
Improved education: 0.5%
Better healthcare: 0.3%
Increased innovation: 0.5%
Reduced inequality: 0.3%
Total additional impact: 1% + 0.5% + 0.3% + 0.5% + 0.3% = 2.6%
Total Estimated Annual GDP Growth Increase:
Baseline impact + Inparity impact = 4.97% + 2.6% = 7.57%
Using a calculator for the exponentiation:
(1.0757)50≈60.54(1.0757)^{50} \approx 60.54(1.0757)50≈60.54
Total Combined Impact =$100 trillion×60.54=$6,054 trillion (unlocked for the next 100 years)
Just in the Enterprise Resource Management field improvements introduced by those changes would account for as much as USD 22+ trillion global GDP impact:
Reduction in Resource Waste:
Inventory Management: Improved inventory management can reduce waste. If ERP systems help companies reduce waste by 10%, considering global manufacturing waste is approximately 1.6 billion tons annually, this could save 160 million tons of waste per year.
Paper Usage: Digitization can reduce paper usage. If ERP systems reduce paper usage by 50% in companies worldwide, and considering that approximately 400 million tons of paper are produced annually, this could save 200 million tons of paper per year.
Energy Efficiency:
Operational Efficiency: ERP systems can optimize energy use in manufacturing and operations. Assuming a 5% increase in energy efficiency across industries, and considering global industrial energy consumption is about 220 exajoules annually, this could save 11 exajoules per year.
Carbon Emissions Reduction:
Transportation and Logistics: Improved logistics and transportation efficiency could reduce carbon emissions. If ERP systems optimize routes and reduce emissions by 10%, considering that transportation accounts for 7.3 billion tons of CO2 annually, this could save 730 million tons of CO2 per year.
Manufacturing Processes:
Enhanced efficiency in manufacturing processes can reduce emissions. If ERP systems improve efficiency and reduce emissions by 5%, with industrial processes accounting for 6.7 billion tons of CO2 annually, this could save 335 million tons of CO2 per year.
Water Usage:
Water Management: Better water management could reduce water usage in industries. If ERP systems reduce water usage by 10%, considering industrial water withdrawal is about 19% of global water use (approximately 760 billion cubic meters annually), this could save 76 billion cubic meters of water per year.
Total Potential Impact Over 50 Years:
Waste Reduction:
160 million tons/year * 50 years = 8 billion tons of waste saved
200 million tons of paper/year * 50 years = 10 billion tons of paper saved
Energy Efficiency:
11 exajoules/year * 50 years = 550 exajoules of energy saved
Carbon Emissions Reduction:
730 million tons of CO2/year * 50 years = 36.5 billion tons of CO2 saved
335 million tons of CO2/year * 50 years = 16.75 billion tons of CO2 saved
Total CO2 saved = 53.25 billion tons
Water Usage:
76 billion cubic meters/year * 50 years = 3.8 trillion cubic meters of water saved
Waste Reduction Savings:
Solid Waste: 8 billion tons of waste saved over 50 years.
Average cost to manage 1 ton of waste (landfilling, recycling, etc.) ≈ $50.
Total savings: 8 billion tons×$50/ton=$400 billion.
Paper Usage:
10 billion tons of paper saved over 50 years.
Average cost of paper per ton ≈ $1,000.
Total savings: 10 billion tons×$1,000/ton=$10 trillion.
Energy Efficiency Savings:
Energy Savings:
550 exajoules of energy saved over 50 years.
Average cost of energy per exajoule ≈ $10 billion.
Total savings: 550 exajoules×$10 billion/exajoule=$5.5 trillion.
Carbon Emissions Reduction:
Carbon Emissions:
53.25 billion tons of CO2 saved over 50 years.
Social cost of carbon (estimated economic damage per ton of CO2) ≈ $50.
Total savings: 53.25 billion tons×$50/ton=$2.6625 trillion.
Water Usage Savings:
Water Savings:
3.8 trillion cubic meters of water saved over 50 years.
Average cost of industrial water per cubic meter ≈ $1.
Total savings: 3.8 trillion cubic meters×$1/cubic meter=$3.8 trillion.
Total Economic Impact:
Summing up all the savings:
Waste management savings: $400 billion
Paper usage savings: $10 trillion
Energy savings: $5.5 trillion
Carbon emissions savings: $2.6625 trillion
Water savings: $3.8 trillion
Total GDP Impact over 50 years: =$ 22.3625 trillion